Financial crisis, greater damage to the domestic machine tool industry as a whole, small and medium metal cutting machine tool manufacturers suffered massive backlog crisis. In contrast, the automobile policy of expanding domestic demand by the direct impact on the overall prosperity of the automotive industry, led to the rapid development of forging machines. Despite the media wrote that the explosive development of metal forming machine that is not sustainable, but according to prospects for industrial policy and the realities of the automotive market analysis, forming machine tools industry in the future within 1 to 2 years of rapid development or can be expected.
Leveraging the business cycle
Forging Machine main customer base in the automotive manufacturing, automotive industry, the rise and fall of the forging machine tool industry has a direct impact.
Borrow the words of the three countries in the "Hop a long time will be minutes, hours will be together a long time," China's auto industry has its own economic cycle. Specifically, the equivalent of from 1955 to 1980 for the first round, from 1980 to 2004 for the second round in 2005, and now for the third round in 2010 and 2015 for the fourth round. At present, China's automobile industry generally in the end of the third round of the business cycle period. Nevertheless, the policy of expanding domestic demand but because of the impact beyond the conventional auto industry maintained rapid growth, with the arrival of the fourth round of the business cycle, the massive growth of the automotive industry is still very possible.
China's current automobile production capacity to more than 1800 million, the actual play to 13 million, capacity to play ratio (output / capacity) was 72%. More in line with the actual situation. Under continuous current mode, the car will drive the growth of forging industry. In the Eleventh Five-Year period, vehicle production increased by 200 million per year basis, forging the necessary equipment is about 25 large-scale mass production line, small and medium production line will be more. These lines also contain some manual operation, and robot, robot and other automated devices.
Now it seems that the market prospects of forging industry is quite substantial.
The next 1-2 years, with the gradual adjustment of car incentives, the gradual implementation of the car to the countryside, people who can afford cars will be more and more. With cities and towns, rural road traffic between the set of continuous improvement, micro cars, vans and some cars will be extended to middle and low household. On the current market demand for car ownership in China is 40 thousand units, while the world average of 120 vehicles. If China's rapid development during the Eleventh Five-year increase in vehicle speed to 2 million, and assume that the car will not scrap the current, then to 2014, thousands of car ownership increased by about 51, has not yet reached the world average. Therefore, in the next 1-2 years, by the positive impact of the automotive market, forming machine tools market is still tended to hot. Combined with air-conditioning appliances, hardware and a series of industry demand forging equipment, forging equipment market will remain bullish.
The eternal topic of innovation
With the depth of China's industrialization and changes in the global industrial division of labor, mode of innovation has become in the future the only way for the development of equipment manufacturing in China. Forging machine area also exists in this trend, the domestic enterprises to multi-station presses, high-grade digital presses, and other high-tech products is still difficult to meet market demand. World-renowned companies such as Schuler press, Weingarten are all relying on continuous technological innovation in the long run the industry leader status stand, they are a model to imitate Chinese enterprises. Although the face of fierce market competition, but as long as the innovation strategy of Chinese enterprises to adhere to the task, in the competition on the domestic and foreign markets will gradually gain the initiative. |
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